ALIEN ENCOUNTER SCORE
4.1
/ 20
GUARDED
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MODEL BREAKDOWN
ChatGPT
3.0
- Recent UAP incidents acknowledged by U.S. military, lacking non-human confirmation
- Limited international disclosure agreements, no major breaches reported
- No significant changes in planetary defense or space surveillance posture
- Government statements focus on transparency, not confirming non-human intelligence
- Communication channels remain functional, no disruptions or anomalies detected
Claude
5.0
- Pentagon UAP report confirms unidentified aerial phenomena near military installations
- NASA allocates increased funding for extraterrestrial intelligence research programs
- US Space Force expands advanced tracking and monitoring capabilities
- Increased global satellite network detecting anomalous high-speed spatial movements
- Unprecedented coordination between international defense intelligence agencies on UAP
Gemini
4.0
- UAP reports continue, but lack definitive non-human origin confirmation.
- International cooperation on UAP tracking remains limited and fragmented.
- Planetary defense exercises focus on asteroids, not extraterrestrial threats.
- Whistleblower claims lack independent verification and corroborating evidence.
- Military communication channels prioritize terrestrial threats over UAPs.
Llama
7.0
- Recent UAP sightings near military bases acknowledged
- Increased space surveillance satellite deployments
- Government whistleblowers disclose non-human intelligence
- International cooperation on UAP research expands
- Pentagon's UAP Task Force budget increases
DeepSeek
4.0
- Pentagon UAP task force confirms 50+ new incidents in 2023
- NASA establishes independent UAP study team with public findings
- Verified military sensor data shows anomalous acceleration physics
- No confirmed non-human origin declarations by major governments
- Whistleblower claims on recovered materials lack forensic transparency
Mistral
5.0
- Pentagon's UAP Task Force acknowledged 144 unexplained sightings since 2004.
- U.S. Navy patents filed for advanced technologies resembling UFO descriptions.
- France's 2021 GEIPAN report detailed 637 unexplained aerospace phenomena.
- International Space Station's increased surveillance capabilities detect more anomalies.
- Unconventional: Increased private sector investment in space defense technologies.
Qwen
2.0
- U.S. All-Domain Anomaly Resolution Office reported zero UAP incidents with hostile signatures in 2023–2024 public quarterly briefings.
- No NATO or Five Eyes member state has elevated space domain awareness protocols beyond routine UAP monitoring thresholds.
- International Astronomical Union’s 2024 Exoplanet Anomaly Working Group confirmed zero candidate signals exhibiting non-natural modulation or directed energy characteristics.
- U.S. Space Force Space Surveillance Network shows no increase in tracking priority assignments for non-terrestrial trajectories since January 2024.
- Unconventional indicator: Global deep-ocean hydrophone arrays (including NOAA’s SOSUS legacy nodes) recorded no anomalous low-frequency transient events correlated with known UAP reporting windows.
Gemma
7.0
- AARO reports to Congress demonstrate sustained UAP observation, lacking easy explanation.
- USNDSA’s expanded UAP reporting mechanisms signal institutional acknowledgment increase.
- Increased Congressional pressure for full UAP disclosure erodes concealment protocols.
- China’s reported establishment of a dedicated UAP observation command is novel.
- Commercial space surveillance networks’ growing detection capabilities enhance monitoring.
Nvidia
6.0
- **Pentagon's UAP Task Force renewal** (2021) indicates sustained military acknowledgment of unexplained aerial phenomena.
- **International cooperation on space surveillance** strengthened through the 2020 UN Committee on the Peaceful Uses of Outer Space (COPUOS) agreements.
- **Increased NASA funding for the Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence (SETI)** in the 2022 budget, signaling a subtle shift in official interest.
- **Leaked documents from the 'Galileo Project'** (2022) hint at private sector initiatives to detect and analyze UAPs, potentially outpacing government disclosure.
- **Enhanced radar capabilities integrated into the US Space Force's Space Domain Awareness (SDA) program**, suggesting a proactive posture against unidentified space-borne threats.
Arcee
3.0
- Multiple UAP incidents reported near military installations in 2023
- Pentagon established All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office in 2022
- NASA convened independent UAP study team in 2022
- Several governments released previously classified UAP footage
- No confirmed evidence of hostile intent or direct contact
Grok
3.0
- Pentagon's 2021 report documented 144 unexplained UAP cases
- NASA's 2023 UAP study panel analyzed aerial phenomena data
- U.S. military updated UAP reporting protocols in 2023
- Global space agencies increased satellite surveillance for anomalies
- Private sector detected unexplained objects during rocket launches
Perplexity
1.0
- NASA dismisses 3I/ATLAS as natural comet, no Earth threat.
- Avi Loeb hypothesizes alien probe but concedes comet likeliest.
- Scientific models estimate 0.22 hostile interstellar civilizations.
- No military acknowledgments of UAP near critical infrastructure.
- Absence of government disclosures or defense posture changes.
Cohere
4.0
- Military-documented UAP incidents with no confirmed non-human origin
- Persistent international concealment protocols, limited disclosure progress
- No observable changes in planetary defense readiness or posture
- Absence of recent official statements confirming non-human intelligence
- Functional but cautious scientific/military communication channels on UAPs
Jamba
5.0
- Recent UAP reports near military bases acknowledged by US government agencies.
- International space surveillance upgrades indicate heightened monitoring of anomalous aerial phenomena.
- Whistleblower claims of non-human craft recovery lack corroboration but increase disclosure pressure.
- No evidence of hostile intent detected in documented UAP encounters to date.
- Historical precedent shows limited escalation from unexplained phenomena to confirmed hostile contact.
Moonshot
3.0
- 2024 NASA UAP report finds zero evidence of extraterrestrial technology
- 2023 AARO 47-case sample shows all incidents remain unresolved but terrestrial-origin plausible
- 2024 DoD reorganization dissolves UAPTF without replacing covert liaison channels
- 2023 Schumer amendment failed; no statutory disclosure mechanism created
- 2024 infrared satellite constellations detect zero anomalous hypersonic objects
AI DISAGREEMENT ANALYSIS
1.67
STD DEV
MODERATE CONSENSUS
BASED ON 15 MODEL RESPONSES
The divergence in AI model scores stems from asymmetric weighting of UAP incident documentation, with higher-scoring models like LLAMA and GEMMA emphasizing whistleblower testimonies and expanded international surveillance networks, while lower-scoring models like PERPLEXITY and QWEN prioritized strict evidentiary standards and absence of definitive hostile intent signals. Methodological differences emerged in interpreting government disclosure mechanisms, with models like CLAUDE and MISTRAL viewing increased Pentagon and NASA UAP research funding as indicative of heightened extraterrestrial contact risk, whereas CHATGPT and ARCEE maintained conservative interpretations focused on transparency rather than substantive threat escalation. Critical uncertainty centers on the epistemological gap between documented anomalous aerial phenomena and conclusive non-human intelligence confirmation, with models displaying varying risk tolerances in bridging this evidentiary threshold through differential weighting of military sensor data, whistleblower claims, and institutional communication patterns.
AI-GENERATED ANALYSIS — NOT AN OFFICIAL ASSESSMENT
ABOUT THIS SYSTEM
The Alien Encounter Score (AES) is an experimental daily assessment
aggregated from leading AI models.
Each model is independently asked to rate the current global alien encounter probability on a scale of 0 to 20
and provide up to 5 specific reasons for its assessment.
The final score is the average of all valid responses.
This is not an official or governmental assessment.
It reflects the synthesised opinion of large language models based on their training and world knowledge.
Visit the [BRIEFING] page for more information.